Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.022359 0.024020 0.025751 0.027689 0.029803 0.032040 0.034589
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.019811 0.022234 0.024890 0.028028 0.031644 0.035694 0.040591
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.017720 0.020539 0.023749 0.027694 0.032438 0.037990 0.045024
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.016269 0.019351 0.022972 0.027569 0.033295 0.040245 0.049408
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.014992 0.018220 0.022111 0.027189 0.033704 0.041867 0.053006
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.014131 0.017507 0.021671 0.027243 0.034589 0.044066 0.057416
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.013217 0.016650 0.020970 0.026877 0.034854 0.045413 0.060722
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.012352 0.015792 0.020199 0.026342 0.034820 0.046309 0.063409
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.011698 0.015164 0.019681 0.026094 0.035130 0.047654 0.066776
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.011105 0.014582 0.019182 0.025828 0.035374 0.048888 0.070027
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.010465 0.013898 0.018505 0.025264 0.035141 0.049396 0.072189
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.010155 0.013650 0.018409 0.025507 0.036075 0.051648 0.077151
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.009781 0.013298 0.018155 0.025512 0.036663 0.053426 0.081523
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009528 0.013105 0.018113 0.025822 0.037722 0.055981 0.087330
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009113 0.012657 0.017682 0.025520 0.037812 0.057013 0.090678
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008782 0.012317 0.017388 0.025407 0.038182 0.058496 0.094878
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008411 0.011900 0.016960 0.025061 0.038153 0.059317 0.097972
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.008169 0.011665 0.016793 0.025110 0.038759 0.061212 0.103091
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.007845 0.011292 0.016399 0.024778 0.038713 0.061993 0.106234
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.007503 0.010878 0.015925 0.024292 0.038380 0.062253 0.108415
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007243 0.010582 0.015621 0.024067 0.038471 0.063250 0.112047
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.006995 0.010293 0.015317 0.023825 0.038517 0.064160 0.115566
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.006698 0.009919 0.014863 0.023312 0.038061 0.064135 0.117231